ارزیابی شاخص سالخوردگی در مناطق روستایی ایران به کمک سیستم‌های دانش‌بنیان

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشیارگروه جغرافیای انسانی، دانشکده جغرافیا، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران.

2 دانشجوی دوره دکتری تخصصی، گرایش برنامه ریزی آمایش محیطی، گروه جغرافیای انسانی، دانشکده جغرافیا، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران.

3 دانشجوی دوره دکتری تخصصی، گرایش برنامه ریزی آمایش محیطی، گروه جغرافیای انسانی، دانشگاه آزاد واحد رشت. رشت، ایران.

4 کارشناسی ارشد گروه جغرافیای انسانی، جغرافیاوبرنامه‌ریزی روستایی، دانشگاه گلستان.گرگان، ایران.

چکیده

انجام تحقیقات در حوزه علوم انسانی بیشتر یک مبحث کیفی است، و نیازمند سطح تحلیل کیفی و کشف ارتباط درونی متغیرهای پژوهش است. یکی از مباحث مهم و پایه در بحث مطالعات انسانی، مبحث جمعیت‌شناسی و بخصوص شناخت ویژگی‌های ساختاری آن است. در این راستا، پژوهش حاضر می‌کوشد تا با به‌کارگیری منطق فازی، وضعیت سالخوردگی جامعه روستایی ایران را در سطح 390 شهرستان کشور مورد بررسی قرار دهد. این پژوهش از نظر هدف کاربردی و از نوع پژوهش‌های توصیفی-تحلیلی است که با روش تحلیل ثانویه انجام شده است. داده‌های موردنیاز متناسب با شش شاخص؛ نسبت پیری و جوانی، نسبت جنسی، نسبت سالمندی، حمایت بالقوه و حمایت پدر و مادر از مرکز آمار ایران استخراج گردیده است. نتایج تحقیق نشان داد که مناطق روستایی حاشیه ایران به دلیل دارای بودن مقادیر مطلوب در شاخص‌های شش‌گانه، با توجه به پایگاه دانش طراحی شده از میزان سالخوردگی کمتری برخوردار بوده، در‌حالی‌که مناطق روستایی داخل ایران به‌شدت به سمت پیری رفته و سالخورده شده‌اند. همچنین نتایج این پژوهش با نقشه قومیت ایران مقایسه شده و نتایج حاکی از آن است که روند سالخوردگی با نقشه قومیت همپوشانی بالایی دارد. چراکه مرزهای جغرافیایی ایران با جغرافیای قومیت‌ها دارای اشتراک مکانی بوده، تمایل به فرزندآوری و داشتن فرزندان بیشتر در این نواحی به نسبت مراکز داخلی کشور بیشتر است. ابن امر سبب افزایش مقدار مطلوب شاخص‌های شش‌گانه و برتری مناطق حاشیه نسبت به مرکز شده است.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات

عنوان مقاله [English]

Evaluating the Aging Index in Rural Areas of Iran through Knowledge-based Systems

نویسندگان [English]

  • Hassanali Faraji Sabokbar 1
  • Habib Mahmoodi Chenari 2
  • Ali Yousefi 3
  • Mehdi Khodadad 4
1 Associate Professor of Human Geography, Faculty of Geography, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.
2 PhD Student of Environmental Permeation Planning, Department of Geography, Faculty of Geography, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.
3 PhD Student of Environmental Permeation Planning, Department of Geography, Azad University of Rasht, Rasht, Iran.
4 Master in Human geography, Geography and Rural Planing Department, Golestan University, Gorgan, Iran.
چکیده [English]

Research in scientific fields is mainly a qualitative issue which requires a level of qualitative analysis and involves the discovery of the relationships among research variables. One of the most important issues in the discussion of human topics is demography and, in particular, the recognition of demographic features. In this regard, this study seeks to examine the state of aging in Iranian rural communities in 390 counties of the country by using fuzzy logic. The research is a descriptive-analytic type and applied in terms of purpose. It was carried out through secondary analyses. The required data were derived from the Statistics Center of Iran and covered six indicators including the ratio of aging and youth, the ratio of genders, the ratio of old age, potential support and parental support. The results showed that, according to the designed database, the rural areas in the margins of Iran have a low rate of aging due to desirable conditions in the six indicators. In contrast, the rural areas in the internal parts of Iran are severely aged and are moving toward aging rapidly. The results of this study were also compared with the ethnicity map of Iran. It was indicated that the findings of this study about the aging process strongly overlap the information on the ethnicity map. Due to the broad ethnic distribution in the geographical boundaries of Iran, the, the desire to have children is higher than that in the central parts of the country. This has led to an increase in the desirable values of the six indicators in the marginal areas and the superiority of those areas over the internal parts.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Rural population
  • Aging
  • rural settlements
  • Knowledge-based systems

مراجع

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پژوهش های روستائی
دوره 10، شماره 1
خرداد 1398
صفحه 50-63

فایل ها

سابقه مقاله

  • تاریخ دریافت: 25 اسفند 1396
  • تاریخ بازنگری: 28 دی 1397
  • تاریخ پذیرش: 16 بهمن 1397

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